Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of wa

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Apr 26, 2021
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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