Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, April 1, 2021, 12 PM EST / 1 PM EDT

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Apr 1, 2021
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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