Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
35¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count publishe
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 1, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.