Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

2¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 10, 2027
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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