Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
3¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jan 10, 2027
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.