Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
the resolution source, on the resolution date
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 5, 2021
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.