Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Mexico by August 31?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
21¢
24h volume
$71.01
Source path
the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Sep 3, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.