Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Mar 13, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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