Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
23¢
24h volume
$2.1K
Source path
consensus of credible reporting
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 22, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.