Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
84¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
consensus of credible reporting
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Nov 3, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.