Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Adelita Grijalva in the 2025 special election for Arizona's 7th Congressiona

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 23, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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