Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Alex Smalley lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$68.00
Source path
to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lo
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 21, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.