Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

an announcement by the AI-MO Prize, XTX Markets or the IMO

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 1, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket