Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by less than 20%Analilia Mejia
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Apr 16, 2026
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.