Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
36¢
24h volume
$496.52
Source path
to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 10, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.