Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be at least 3.0%?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

24h volume

$108.66

Source path

to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacio

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 10, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.