Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.4%?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$108.66
Source path
to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacio
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Sep 10, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.