Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

96¢

24h volume

$87.29

Source path

to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled July 24

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 24, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.