Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$5.2K
Source path
to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 10, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.