Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
3¢
24h volume
$50.76
Source path
to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jan 12, 2027
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.