Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.6% and 1.9%?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

GDP release

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Mar 3, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.