Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will China win the 2025 International Math Olympiad?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the country that wins (achieves the highest total team score) the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: not stated
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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