Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?
YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$155.22
Source path
to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 22, 2026”
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 18, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.