Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
65¢
24h volume
$71.99
Source path
nato
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 4, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.