Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Apr 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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