Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

31¢

24h volume

$148.30

Source path

to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket