Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.