Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $9.0B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

Clear Street Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Feb 13, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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