Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $137.50 Week of June 29 2026?
Resolves in 57h.
Probability
28¢
24h volume
$549.91
Source path
Coinbase (exchange price)
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 3, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.