Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will CXMT’s market cap be between 280 billion and 310 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

2¢

24h volume

$66.25

Source path

SEC filing

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket