Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will CXMT’s market cap be between 340 billion and 370 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$66.25

Source path

SEC filing

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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