Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
13¢
24h volume
$738.41
Source path
consensus of credible reporting
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 30, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.