Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

6¢

24h volume

$3.21

Source path

Binance spot pair

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 1, 2027
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket