Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
both sources deemed appropriate by the Forecast team, or empirically by watching the inauguration on a livestream
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Feb 1, 2021
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.