Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

whitehouse.gov and and https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2021
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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