Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
17¢
24h volume
$196.32
Source path
the total number of tropical cyclones recorded making landfall in China during the calendar year 2026 as published on th
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2027
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.