Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count publishe

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 13, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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