Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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