Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
28¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.