Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will Gregory Jaczko be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$50.00

Source path

to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the District of Columbia congressional dist

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 16, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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