Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?

Resolves in 32h.

Probability

96¢

24h volume

$1.8K

Source path

to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 14, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket