Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Harris reach 60% before Trump flips her on Silver Bulletin?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the Silver Bulletin election forecast for any date between October 10 and November 4, 2024 (inclusive)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 4, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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