Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$36.17
Source path
to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.