Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Heather Humphreys win by 10–15%?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election, scheduled to take place

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Oct 24, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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