Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

27¢

24h volume

$161.00

Source path

to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.