Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

72¢

24h volume

$1.3K

Source path

to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 22, 2026”

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 18, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.