Orrery Resolution Risk
Expired is not resolved.
The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.
Market
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Probability
34¢
24h volume
$2.96
Source path
consensus of credible reporting
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 31, 2025
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Check the official source named by the contract.
- 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.