Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Jara win by 6-9%?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 16, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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