Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 13, 2023
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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