Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will John Thune be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$26.46

Source path

to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 14, 2028
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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